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by OrangeTee & Tie Pte Ltd.

Realion's comments on HDB Q2 2025 Public Housing Data

HDB Quarterly Data

HDB Resale Price Index

​​The HDB resale prices rose for the 21st consecutive quarter in Q2 2025, albeit at a slower pace compared to Q1; prices rose by 0.9 per cent in Q2 2025, compared to the 1.6 per cent increase in Q1 2025, marking the third consecutive slowdown in price growth.  On a year-on-year basis, price gains are also lower than the 2.3 per cent recorded in Q2 2024. For the first half of 2025, prices increased by 2.5 per cent, which is less than the 4.2 per cent growth in H1 2024 but similar to the 2.5 per cent increase in H1 2023. 

Prices in Q2 2025 grew at a slower pace, as the supply of new flats rose substantially this year. Over 20,000 new BTO (build-to-order) and SBF (sale-of-balance flats) were launched for sale in the February and July BTO sales exercises. Many new flats were located in choice locations and some had shorter completion times. Generous grants were available for eligible buyers and deferment of income assessment were additional factors. 

Nevertheless, Q2 2025 marks the longest price growth streak ever recorded. Prices have grown continuously for 21 consecutive quarters from Q1 2020 to Q2 2025, compared to the 20 consecutive quarters of increase from Q4 1991 to Q4 1996. However, the recent price increases, while noticeable, still pale in comparison to the more dramatic spikes observed in the 1990s. Prices grew by 54.3 per cent from Q1 2020 to Q2 2025. Comparatively, prices surged by 294.4 per cent from Q4 1991 to Q4 1996. 



Resale Volume 

 

Resale volume rose by 7.8 per cent from 6,590 units in Q1 2025 to 7,102 units in Q2.  The sales increase could be attributed to the absence of BTO launches in the second quarter of this year. Some buyers who are in urgent need of a home may have turned to the secondary market.   Year-on-year, the total resale volume declined by 3.4 per cent from 7,352 units in Q2 2024.



Rental   

​​HDB rental demand continued to recover last quarter. According to HDB Public Housing Data for Q2 2025, the number of approved applications to rent out HDB flats increased by 4.2 per cent from 9,662 units in Q1 2025 to 10,066 units in Q2 2025. The uptick in HDB rental volume is expected, as rental demand typically increases in Q2 compared to Q1, as observed in 2023 and 2024.  

 

As private rents become more competitive, many flat owners are less likely to increase their asking rents substantially, which could be beneficial to tenants. As a result, rent prices are expected to rise modestly this year by 1 to 2 per cent for the whole of 2025. 



Outlook 

 

The HDB resale price growth is expected to continue rising modestly for the remainder of the year, driven by our stable economic fundamentals and declining interest rates. We anticipate that prices may rise 4 to 5.5 per cent for the whole of 2025 , and around 27,000 to 28,000 resale homes could be transacted.

 

In the longer term, significant price spikes may be mitigated by the overall flat supply, which is expected to increase in the coming years, leading to increased competition among sellers. Buyers will then have a wide array of housing options.

 

With the recent announcement of the Draft Master Plan 2025, some areas may experience an uptick in interest from potential buyers, as they look forward to the development of new community hubs, healthcare facilities, transportation options and other choice amenities. Areas which may benefit from this growth include Bishan, Dover, Sengkang, Woodlands and Yio Chu Kang, among others.



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