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Realion | Comments on URA flash estimates for Q2 2025

URA Quarterly Data

Press Release

25 Apr 2025


URA has just released the Q2 2025 real estate statistics. 

https://www.ura.gov.sg/Corporate/Media-Room/Media-Releases/pr25-34


URA Price Index

Private home prices rose marginally by 0.5 per cent in the second quarter of 2025, down from the 0.8 per cent gains in the first quarter, based on flash estimates released by the Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA).

The slower price growth may be attributed to the smaller price increments for non-landed properties – or condos and apartments – which climbed by 0.5 per cent in the second quarter, down from the 1.0 per cent gain in the first quarter. However, landed prices rose at a slightly quicker pace of 0.7 per cent, up from the 0.4 per cent over the same period.

The overall price slowdown may also be driven by price drops in the city fringe or the Rest of Central Region (RCR), where prices dipped by 1.1 per cent in Q2 2025, down from 1.7 per cent growth in Q1 2025. 


Possible Reasons Behind The Slower Price Growth

There was a significant decline in sales transactions in Q2 2025, especially the primary market. This is due to a sharp reduction in the number of new launched units, dipping from 3,139 units (excluding EC) in Q1 2025 to an anticipated total of less than 2,000 units in Q2 2025 (i.e. 1,364 units were launched in April and May 2025). This reduction may have impacted the overall price growth since new sales constituted a smaller proportion of total transactions, and new homes tend to fetch higher prices.

Based on URA realis caveat data, the proportion of new sale transactions (non-landed and landed excluding EC) dipped from 46.1 per cent in Q1 2025 to 26.5 per cent in Q2 2025. Conversely, the proportion of resale home transactions, which typically fetch lower prices than new homes, rose from 49.8 per cent to 69.1 per cent.  

Moreover, consumer sentiment was generally more cautious due to the macroeconomic uncertainties, stemming from the ongoing trade war. The May elections and local buyers being overseas during the June holidays may have led to fewer marketing activities and subsequently translated to less sales transactions.


Outlook 

The market outlook remains cautious due to tensions in the Middle East and the global trade war crisis. The geopolitical uncertainty may lead to a more prudent approach to spending and investment, with buyers being more price-sensitive and selective.

Nevertheless, Singapore’s property market is well-supported by the public housing market, which continues to see positive price growth this year. Many resale flat transactions experienced price gains, with many million flat transactions registered in recent months.

Furthermore, interest rates are expected to continue their downward trend for the rest of the year, which will improve affordability for consumers. The 3-month compounded Singapore Overnight Rate Average (SORA) on the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) website indicates that interest rates declined at an accelerated pace of about 19.2 per cent in Q2 2025, compared to the quarterly decreases of 15.9 per cent in Q1 2025 and 13.1 per cent in Q4 2024. The sustained interest rate drops and lower cost of borrowing will create a more favourable buying environment, especially for first-time home buyers and investors with tighter budgets.



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